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Roelof-Jan van den Akker

Technical Trend Monitor: Now with more interesting and varied markets daily

Bobl future continuous contract: Long-term trend: Up. Upper end trend channel weekly chart coming in around 137.80. Short-term trend: Up. Bottoming above horizontal support around 134.10

ING
Jakub Rybacki ...
  • Rafal Benecki

Poland: CPI exceeds central bank target on higher services prices

We expect a moderate CPI slowdown in the second half of the year. However, we see a strong case for much higher readings in 2020 and as such, the central bank is unlikely to lower rates despite looming ECB easing

ING
Iris Pang

China: GDP growth slumps; Retail sales show warning signs

China's GDP growth has slumped to its slowest pace in almost three decades, as trade tensions weigh on sentiment and activity. While retail sales appear to be holding up so far, we see signs that the tech war is starting to affect job security and expected wage growth

ING
Warren Patterson ...
  • Wenyu Yao

The Commodities Feed: Copper speculative net shorts grow

Your daily roundup of commodities news and ING views

ING
Job Veenendaal

Euro Quantitative Credit Pack

CDS Performance, Sector Performance and Events Calendar Euro Credit asset swap spreads and performance

ING
Hendrik Wiersma ...
  • Jeroen van den Broek
  • Job Veenendaal
  • Nadège Tillier
  • Suvi Platerink Kosonen

Coffee, Croissants & Credit/AB InBev

AB InBev abandons IPO plan, expect weakness in the curve

ING
Research Department

Benelux Morning Notes

Euronext: 2Q19F results - Oslo Børs VPS acquisition in focus

ING
Ciprian Dascalu ...
  • Valentin Tataru

Briefing Romania

We expect a good April-2026 auction

ING
James Knightley ...
  • Mark Cliffe

Trump leads while Democratic front runners emerge

President Trump's re-election odds are strengthening but a second term is far from certain. In the first of a series of updates to our in-depth report, US Politics Watch: Four Scenarios for 2020 and Beyond, we have collaborated once again with Oxford Analytica to look at how the race is shaping up

ING
Nicky Mapa

FM Manila View and Cues/BI and BSP to cut policy rates as Powell confirms dovish leaning

PHP: Dovish Powell boosts PHP but gains capped as Diokno affirms his own cut. FXTN – BVAL: Traders to digest latest round of Diokno easing talk. ROPs (& INDONs): The market to track Treasuries, await BI decision

ING
Chris Turner ...
  • Francesco Pesole
  • Petr Krpata, CFA

Daily FX Strategy/Earning season to test risk-on mood

Mixed Chinese data failed to set a clear tone for global market sentiment overnight. While GDP growth decelerated to multi-decade lows, retails sales, industrial production and fixed asset investments managed to beat estimates in June. Overall, it seems that more time is needed to fully assess the impacts of trade wars on Chinese economy and for now markets can preserve the risk-on mood. Such mood will be inevitably tested this week as the US corporate earnings season comes alive. Some particular attention today and tomorrow will be on major US banks - along with some tech giants - with any su...

ING
Roelof-Jan van den Akker

Technical Analysis/Testing solid support area in the Bund future

Last year's break above the horizontal resistance barrier around 158.75 resulted in a resumption of the long-term uptrend. This is confirmed by the break above the next horizontal resistance level around 162.15 at the end of last year. Next long-term resistance levels within this strong uptrend in the weekly continuous chart comes in at the upper end of the 4 year rising trend channel around 174.80 with the long-term rising 8 year trend channel offering resistance around 181.60.

ING
Marc Zwartsenburg, CEFA

ING Benelux Favourites and Least Favourites/Weekly performance and valuation update

In this publication we update the performance of our ING Benelux Favourites list as well as all valuation and ranking tables for our coverage universe. Performance on the front page is dated from our last comprehensive update published on 18 January 2018, while the rolling performance since inception is included on subsequent pages. The methodology for our favourites selection is based on a bottom-up approach with a focus on absolute performance with clear near-term triggers. It is a rolling list, ie, stocks can enter/exit whenever we think opportune.

ING
Chris Turner ...
  • Francesco Pesole
  • Petr Krpata, CFA

FX Talking: Toe-to-toe in a currency war

Now that the Fed has joined the dots between the trade war and the economy, expectations are that the dollar should also play its role in delivering easier monetary conditions. The problem is that the ECB is moving just as quickly, which may prevent USD/Europe from adjusting lower. The White House won't be happy

ING
Iris Pang ...
  • Nicky Mapa
  • Prakash Sakpal

Good MornING Asia - 15 July 2019

Yet another exciting week for markets kicks off with China 2Q19 GDP report today and progresses with persistent Fed policy noise, some Asian central bank policy meetings, and lots of trade data from around the region.

ING
Gustavo Rangel

LATAM FX Talking: The Brazil vs Mexico divergence gains steam

The external risk environment has turned slightly more benign with US-China trade tensions stabilizing and market relief provided by expected rate cuts in the US and Europe. The Brazilian BRL continues to stand out, even though we have recently moderated our appreciation trajectory for the Real. There is a weakening bias for the Mexican peso

ING
Iris Pang

China's trade future rests on its ability to sell tech abroad

The surge in shipments to avoid potentially higher tariffs has come to an end with Chinese exports shrinking on an annual basis in June. The tougher environment has had an impact on imports too. As things stand, it seems technology will be at the heart of the fate of China's exports in the future

ING
Iris Pang

China: Soaring loan growth is a worrying signal

Credit grew at an exceptionally fast pace in June mainly due to financing for infrastructure projects. The implication is that if there were no fiscal stimulus, the economy would be deteriorating. The key question is, can the central bank keep interest rates capped given such enormous demand for infrastructure loans?

ING
Dmitry Dolgin ...
  • Jakub Rybacki
  • James Knightley
  • James Smith
  • Prakash Sakpal

Our view on next week's key events

Discover what ING analysts are looking for next week in our global economic calendars

ING
Roelof-Jan van den Akker

Daily FX Technical: Now with more interesting and varied currency pairs daily

AUD/USD: Long-term trend: Neutral. Crucial horizontal support coming in around 0.6840. Short-term trend: Neutral. Climbing above the MA-50 line again

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