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Global Valuation Chartbook: "(Almost) Everything is Expensive…(continued)"
Extract Quarterly Asset Allocation Update No 30, 28th June '17 - Global Valuation Update
The Morning Track do-overs
- The Morning Track - Do-Overs by Bob Savage
There are move-overs, left-overs and do-overs. The reference applies to food as much to money. Perhaps the correlation is between bad food and bad markets. Markets are waiting to see if Draghi and other central bankers wanted to shift gears f...
Synthèse conjoncturelle du 21 au 27 juin 2017 : Les taux souverains italiens et espagnols résistent aux turbulences bancaires
Analyse synthétique des faits et chiffres marquants de la conjoncture mondiale.Après le sauvetage début juin de la 6°banque espagnole, Banco Popular, via le mécanisme de résolution européen, le 25 juin l'Etat italien a annoncé la recapitalisation de deux banques placées en liquidation (Veneto Banca et Banca Popolare di Vicenza).Alors qu'un tel cont...
Daily RAG: "Move LONG S&P futures on weakness if forthcoming - technical models increasingly on BUY"
Daily RAG 28th June 2017
We finally got some bad news/fear.
Paratrade Systems Premium Report
The Morning Track sticks-and-stones-3
- The Morning Track – Sticks and Stones by Bob Savage
Sticks and stones may break my bones, but words will never hurt me – unless they are spoken by central bankers. The ECB Draghi speech in Portugal flipped markets from an easy summer to a more challenging one. He noted tra...
Stagflation is spreading its tent
Inflationary fires are smouldering, notwithstanding the widely-expected tumble in the oil price. The inflationary threat lies in the latency of overheated labour markets, simmering supply networks and trigger-happy fiscal sheriffs. From US to Japan, from India to Russia, wage inflation and labour cost inflation are on the move.
Daily RAG: "WATCH & WAIT"
Daily RAG 27th June 2017
MOSL: THEMATIC | Contrarian Investing-It pays to be different-Identifying contrarian investment strategies that work
THEMATIC | Contrarian Investing: It pays to be different; Identifying contrarian investment strategies that workContrarian investing is a time-tested investment tool, which involves buying/selling stocks that goes against the prevailing sentiment of crowd or the market. It is among the first lessons taught to budding investors and literature on th...
China Stops ‘Snakes Swallowing Elephants’, as Steel Sector Awaits Trump…
Macro Weekly Insight
Weekly Market Positioning Update: "Net Speculative US$ Positioning (almost) Flat"
Market positioning 26th June 2017
The Morning Track sunny-outlooks
- The Morning Track – Sunny Outlooks by Bob Savage
Weather and moods frequently dance together. Markets have become sunny again with outlooks for the next 2 months ebullient like the weather forecasts making many plan a holiday. This is the end of Ramadan and Sunday’s Eid al-Fitr ...
US Equities: Less of a Hostage to Information Technology Compared to 2000
Some commentators believe that US equities are currently in a bubble, although the present backdrop is more nuanced than during the late-1990s. Misplaced euphoria about the benefits of technological innovation was the main reason for elevated equity valuations in the previous bubble period.Economic outperformance by the information technology secto...
Daily RAG: "Close LONG S&P position - conviction diminished while some models are moving higher"
Daily RAG 26th June 2017
The Weekly Track full-bloom-2
- The Weekly Track – Full Bloom? by Bob Savage
The best of times never feels that way at the moment. The Summer Solstice came and went and the longest day of the year passed with little celebration – so too for market’s another record high for equities, another central bank rate hike...
Weekly Macro Themes - 23 June 2017
This week we cover: 1. China Property & Investment Outlook: The Chinese property market is arguably the most important property market in the world, click through to get a copy of the report and our view on what's in store for China's property market outlook.2. China Equities Outlook: The MSCI announcement provides a good prompt to have a reconside...
Longview on Friday: "Liquidity, Valuation and the Fallacy of Equilibrium"
The Morning Track no-waiting
- The Morning Track – No Waiting? by Bob Savage
The weekend appears to have started last night. The theme has been to cover and wait for Monday with oil up as OPEC compliance hits 106% and concerns about Middle East geopolitics rises. Gold is bid despite the World Gold Council saying ...
Daily RAG: "Models on/close to BUY - Stay LONG S&P (despite rising risks)"
La lettre d'Eric Galiègue
Le pétrole commence à inquiéter les marchés financiers. C’est normal : 20$ le baril, c’est 1% du PIB mondial. Le cours du pétrole a commencé un nouveau marché baissier depuis qu’il a franchi sa moyenne mobile un an il y a plusieurs semaines, et est en repli de 20% sur les plus hauts de l’année.
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