The bond gauges are getting some help from oil.

Paratrade Systems Premium Report
08/02/2017
2 pages
EN

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Paratrade Systems Chris Evans Subscriptions Available

Gauging Fear to Fuel Superior Returns

We measure the key variables that have historically sparked good returns in stocks and bonds. Once we know where they stand we can skew risk/reward in our favor.

There are only a few things we need to know to determine when there is good money to be made in stocks and bonds:

  • In stocks we measure how scared people are and whether interest rates are rising or falling. There may be other factors involved in a long term trend but these two factors are the keys to significant positive returns.
  • For bonds, we must measure inflation and economic growth. If the former is benign and/or the latter is weak, we can expect good returns.

It’s that simple. Paratrade’s fuel gauges boil these factors down to two simple indices for each market – one is daily and the other is weekly. There are also two such gauges for the “risk parity” position where you are long both stocks and bonds.

We can study the historical performance of the market when the fuel gauges are at varying levels. The table at my site shows filtered S&P and bond returns for different ranges of the indices. There is a clear skew.  

By subscribing to Paratrade’s daily commentary, you will receive an update about where these indices stand. Can you afford not to know?


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English
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by Chris Evans 2h / 22m
English
2 pages
by Chris Evans
Premium

The weekly bond gauge jumps and the daily crashes out.

Paratrade Systems Premium Report

English
2 pages
by Chris Evans 1d / 2h / 2m
English
2 pages
by Chris Evans
Premium

Bonds are a pleasant surprise.

Paratrade Systems Premium Report

English
2 pages
by Chris Evans 4d / 2h / 29m
English
2 pages
by Chris Evans
Premium

Still hanging on to my bonds

Paratrade Systems Premium Report

English
2 pages
by Chris Evans 5d / 1h / 17m
English
2 pages
by Chris Evans
Premium

The bond fuel tank sprung a leak

Paratrade Systems Premium Report

English
2 pages
by Chris Evans 6d / 1h / 33m
English
2 pages
by Chris Evans
Premium

Staying with Risk Parity

Paratrade Systems Premium Report

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2 pages

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