Select Sector SPDR-Utilities

  • TickerXLU
  • ISINUS81369Y8865
  • ExchangeNYSE Arca
  • SectorNonequity Investment Instruments
  • CountryUnited States

Analysts

Dave Nicoski ...
  • Ross LaDuke

Vermilion Compass: Weekly Equity Strategy

Here we go again In last week's Compass we laid the case that markets were at a key inflection point heading into the first Fed rate cut in over a decade. Despite hawkish Fed takeaways, it was the escalation in the U.S.-China trade war that was the bigger story, however both weighed on global equities. Needless to say, everything we highlighted last week as being at a key inflection point failed to resolve in a manner that was bullish for equities. Below we highlight several developments we are watching which will help determine if the current pullback will be similar to what happened in May,...

Dave Nicoski ...
  • Ross LaDuke

Vermilion Macro Vision: U.S. Equity Strategy

The S&P 500 continues its march higher, however the troops have been unable to keep up with the generals and with this is an ounce of concern. Sending the generals into battle often ends up with no more leaders. Our view of the markets is to deploy a barbell approach of growth and safety. While growth continues to outperform, it does so without the small-caps. Meanwhile utilities and staples continue to march just behind the growth areas of the market, and have been unable to reach new RS highs since the December decline. In this report we detail our investment thesis and outlook for U.S. equi...

Dave Nicoski ...
  • Ross LaDuke

Vermilion ETF Pathfinder: Actionable ETF research & Ideas

As market participants attempt to digest the Trump/Xi G20 meeting and resulting trade cease-fire, the S&P 500 remains below logical resistance at 2,964. While a breakout would not be surprising, we believe additional consolidation is the more likely scenario. • Cyclicals unable to hit new price highs. Helping lead us to believe the market may not be ready to break out is the fact that several key cyclical areas of the market are either making lower highs or remain below resistance. Until we see some breakouts or improvements within cyclical areas we believe additional consolidation is likely....

Dave Nicoski ...
  • Ross LaDuke

Vermilion ETF Pathfinder: Actionable ETF research & Ideas

Market purgatory continues Despite the generally positive developments highlighted below, our outlook remains neutral and we see the S&P 500 remaining rangebound between support at 2,720-2,730 and resistance at the all-time highs of 2,954. We continue to believe an eventual breakout or breakdown is likely to be the deciding factor as to where the market is headed next. • U.S. dollar. The U.S. dollar has weakened and is testing critical support. We continue to believe further weakening has the potential to save global risk assets by providing a tailwind for EM/foreign equities and the commodi...

Dave Nicoski ...
  • Ross LaDuke

Vermilion ETF Pathfinder: Actionable ETF research & Ideas

Upgrading Staples, Downgrading Energy We are downgrading our outlook to neutral as a result of several negative developments, including breakdowns for EM (EEM) and China (MCHI, FXI), steep price and RS uptrend violations for Technology (XLK, RYT), improving RS for defensive areas of the market, weakness in “Dr.” copper, and crude oil's breakdown. • Key levels on S&P 500, U.S. dollar. Our neutral outlook is supported by a consolidating market and a number of mixed technical signals. On the S&P 500 we are watching for support at 2,800 (with secondary support at the 200-day MA) and resistance a...

Dave Nicoski ...
  • Ross LaDuke

Vermilion Compass: Weekly Equity Strategy

Here we go again In last week's Compass we laid the case that markets were at a key inflection point heading into the first Fed rate cut in over a decade. Despite hawkish Fed takeaways, it was the escalation in the U.S.-China trade war that was the bigger story, however both weighed on global equities. Needless to say, everything we highlighted last week as being at a key inflection point failed to resolve in a manner that was bullish for equities. Below we highlight several developments we are watching which will help determine if the current pullback will be similar to what happened in May,...

Dave Nicoski ...
  • Ross LaDuke

Vermilion Macro Vision: U.S. Equity Strategy

The S&P 500 continues its march higher, however the troops have been unable to keep up with the generals and with this is an ounce of concern. Sending the generals into battle often ends up with no more leaders. Our view of the markets is to deploy a barbell approach of growth and safety. While growth continues to outperform, it does so without the small-caps. Meanwhile utilities and staples continue to march just behind the growth areas of the market, and have been unable to reach new RS highs since the December decline. In this report we detail our investment thesis and outlook for U.S. equi...

Dave Nicoski ...
  • Ross LaDuke

Vermilion ETF Pathfinder: Actionable ETF research & Ideas

As market participants attempt to digest the Trump/Xi G20 meeting and resulting trade cease-fire, the S&P 500 remains below logical resistance at 2,964. While a breakout would not be surprising, we believe additional consolidation is the more likely scenario. • Cyclicals unable to hit new price highs. Helping lead us to believe the market may not be ready to break out is the fact that several key cyclical areas of the market are either making lower highs or remain below resistance. Until we see some breakouts or improvements within cyclical areas we believe additional consolidation is likely....

Dave Nicoski ...
  • Ross LaDuke

Vermilion ETF Pathfinder: Actionable ETF research & Ideas

Market purgatory continues Despite the generally positive developments highlighted below, our outlook remains neutral and we see the S&P 500 remaining rangebound between support at 2,720-2,730 and resistance at the all-time highs of 2,954. We continue to believe an eventual breakout or breakdown is likely to be the deciding factor as to where the market is headed next. • U.S. dollar. The U.S. dollar has weakened and is testing critical support. We continue to believe further weakening has the potential to save global risk assets by providing a tailwind for EM/foreign equities and the commodi...

Dave Nicoski ...
  • Ross LaDuke

Vermilion ETF Pathfinder: Actionable ETF research & Ideas

Upgrading Staples, Downgrading Energy We are downgrading our outlook to neutral as a result of several negative developments, including breakdowns for EM (EEM) and China (MCHI, FXI), steep price and RS uptrend violations for Technology (XLK, RYT), improving RS for defensive areas of the market, weakness in “Dr.” copper, and crude oil's breakdown. • Key levels on S&P 500, U.S. dollar. Our neutral outlook is supported by a consolidating market and a number of mixed technical signals. On the S&P 500 we are watching for support at 2,800 (with secondary support at the 200-day MA) and resistance a...

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