Cairn Energy PLC

Cairn Energy is an oil and gas exploration and development company. Co. has three groups of business unit: Senegal, which focuses on appraising the discoveries offshore Senegal and to identify further exploration prospects for drilling; U.K and Norway, which includes exploration activities in the North Sea, Norwegian Sea and Barents Sea and management of Co.'s development assets in the U.K. North Sea; and International, which consists of all other regions where Co. holds exploration licenses, including Greenland, Ireland, Morocco, Western Sahara, Mauritania and the Mediterranean. As at Dec 31 2016, Co. had total proved plus probable reserves of 51.5 million barrels of oil equivalent.
  • TickerCNE
  • ISINGB00B74CDH82
  • ExchangeLondon Stock Exchange
  • SectorOil & Gas Producers
  • CountryUnited Kingdom

Analysts

Philip Morrish

Value Indicator - UK Basic Resources 04112019

Currently '(TM)Value Indicator - UK basic resources' is a value analysis of the Basic Resources super sector of quoted companies on the London Stock Exchange's main market that provides the reader with indicative longer-term target prices.

Philip Morrish

Value Indicator - UK Main Market 04112019

Currently '(TM) Value Indicator - UK main market' is a value analysis of the Basic Resources, Construction & Materials, Telecoms and Utilities sectors of quuoted companies on the London Stock Exchange's main market that provides the reader with indicative longer-term target prices.

Philip Morrish

Value Indicator - UK Basic Resources 21102019

Currently '(TM)Value Indicator - UK basic resources' is a value analysis of the Basic Resources super sector of quoted companies on the the London Stock Exchange's main market that provides the user with indicative longer-term target prices.

Philip Morrish

Value Indicator - UK Main Market 21102019

Currently '(TM)Value Indicator - UK main market' is a value analysis of the Basic Resources, Construction & Materials, Telecoms and Utilities sectors of quoted companies on the London Stock Exchange's main market that provides the reader with longer-term indicative target prices.

Philip Morrish

Value Indicator - UK Basic Resources 14102019

Currently '(TM)Value Indicator - UK basic resources' is a value analysis of the Basic Resources super sector of quoted companies on the London Stock Exchange's main market that provides the reader with indicative longer-term target prices.

Jessica Saadat

UK E&P - Increasing oil prices

In this short note we update our oil price deck, to bring it more inline with consensus. Although we still believe there may be the “shale ceiling”, we believe the risk that Brent crude falls below $50/bbl again has diminished substantially. Whilst there has been a lot of recent speculation around EVs and peak demand, we see upside risk to the oil price in the short to medium term, and as such we believe many of the E&P names, which have production profiles peaking in that time frame, are well placed to exploit this timing, without suffering the longer term strategic issues Big Oil may face.

Jessica Saadat

Cairn Energy (CNE LN, BUY, T/P 266p) - Trading Update | Operational update

Cairn’s operational update was broadly inline with our model, and as such we don’t expect to make any major changes to our RENAV of c260p, although YE net cash was higher than we forecast.

SNE larger but phased

Cairn Energy’s interim report revealed higher contingent resources at SNE of 563mmbbl, but a phased development plan targeting the lower reservoirs initially. Lower capex to first oil is balanced by a lower (and longer) plateau period of 75-125mb/d. Other offshore projects indicate that phase one will have low production rates (of perhaps 80mb/d), while we expect further phases to increase over time. As a result of these changes, and a number of other adjustments throughout our modelling (not least for the commissioning issues seen at Kraken), our contingent valuation remains broadly flat at 1...

Jessica Saadat

Cairn Energy

Following Cairn’s H1 results and call, we have updated our model to reflect the higher resource estimates, and as such, increase our RENAV (and PT which is set at RENAV) from 225p to 242p. We continue to believe that Cairn remains one of the more undervalued E&Ps, and with quality assets, and catalysts. We also believe that if it remains undervalued for long, industry could potentially step in and frank a higher value. News flow will be a bit lighter in the coming months (a few exploration wells in Norway) but H1 2018 could see potentially c$1bn added in the event of successful arbitration, an...

Jessica Saadat

Cairn Energy

Cairn has upgraded its resource estimates for SNE in its H1 results today, by c19% from 473mmbls to 563mmbls. Our RENAV of 225p currently includes 85p for SNE, based on 2C resources of c470mmbbls (gross) for SNE, risked at 65% CoS, so we would expect to increase our RENAV following today’s announcement. We do not yet include any value either for the >1TCF of potential gas resources associated with Senegal. We continue to believe Cairn looks very undervalued.

Jessica Saadat

Cairn Energy

Cairn will release its H117 results on Tuesday, 22nd August. Given Kraken only started production at the end of June, the H1 financials will be relatively meaningless. The key thing to watch out for will be the resource update for SNE, off Senegal. Our RENAV of 225p currently includes 85p for SNE, based on 2C resources of c470mmbbls (gross) for SNE, risked at 65% CoS. We include another 11p risked for 3C/exploration upside. Given an extremely attractive valuation, and potential material upside, we retain Cairn as our top pick.

2 directors bought/maiden bought

Two Directors at Cairn Energy bought 25,000 shares at between 162p and 175p. The significance rating of the trade was 68/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two years clearly showing Close periods where trading activity is restricted under listing rules. The na...

Philip Morrish

Value Indicator - UK Basic Resources 04112019

Currently '(TM)Value Indicator - UK basic resources' is a value analysis of the Basic Resources super sector of quoted companies on the London Stock Exchange's main market that provides the reader with indicative longer-term target prices.

Philip Morrish

Value Indicator - UK Main Market 04112019

Currently '(TM) Value Indicator - UK main market' is a value analysis of the Basic Resources, Construction & Materials, Telecoms and Utilities sectors of quuoted companies on the London Stock Exchange's main market that provides the reader with indicative longer-term target prices.

Philip Morrish

Value Indicator - UK Basic Resources 21102019

Currently '(TM)Value Indicator - UK basic resources' is a value analysis of the Basic Resources super sector of quoted companies on the the London Stock Exchange's main market that provides the user with indicative longer-term target prices.

Philip Morrish

Value Indicator - UK Main Market 21102019

Currently '(TM)Value Indicator - UK main market' is a value analysis of the Basic Resources, Construction & Materials, Telecoms and Utilities sectors of quoted companies on the London Stock Exchange's main market that provides the reader with longer-term indicative target prices.

Philip Morrish

Value Indicator - UK Basic Resources 14102019

Currently '(TM)Value Indicator - UK basic resources' is a value analysis of the Basic Resources super sector of quoted companies on the London Stock Exchange's main market that provides the reader with indicative longer-term target prices.

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